Matt Ortega

I'm Voting for ''That One''

"We don't throw the first punch, but we'll throw the last."
--Senator Barack Obama

Brooks: McCain’s Problem — GOP Unfit to Govern

New York Times columnist David Brooks, fresh off the Applebee’s fiasco, actually got one right for a change.

McCain’s problem is that his party is unfit to govern. As research from the Republican pollster David Winston has shown, any policy becomes less popular when people learn that Republicans are supporting it. If the G.O.P. sponsored the sunrise, voters would prefer gloom. Many Republicans are under the illusion that they are in trouble because they’ve betrayed their core principles. The sad truth is that if they’d been more conservative, they’d be even further behind. [emphasis added]

MS-01: Democrats Take Another Deep Red District

In the special election run-off for Senator Roger Wicker’s (R-Mississippi) former House seat, Democrat Travis Childers was declared the victor. This makes three seats in deeply Republican districts flipping to Democrats and we are not even into the summer yet.

President Bush carried the First Congressional District of Mississippi with 62 percent of the vote. Childers won the seat by eight points, 54-46.

It is important to note that the National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) dropped roughly $1.3 million of their $7 million cash on hand in an eight point drubbing in an R+10 district. NRCC Chair Rep. Tom Cole (R-Moore, Okla.) did not even try to spin the crushing defeat. It is simply stunning and goes to show the Everest that Republican candidates face in November.

The defeat leaves Republicans with less than 200 seats in the House — 199.

Swing State Project asked readers to draft the NRCC press release and outlined just how big of a victory the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) and Rep.-elect Childers secured for Democrats.

A number of conservative bloggers are avoiding the Mississippi special election run-off altogether but a few chimed in with their takes.

Read more »

Quote of the Day

The Republican loss in the special election for Louisiana’s Sixth Congressional District last Saturday should be a sharp wake up call for Republicans: Either Congressional Republicans are going to chart a bold course of real change or they are going to suffer decisive losses this November.

–Former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich (R-Georgia)
Gingrich Newsletter, 05/06/08

Gen (D): Democrats on the Rise in Youth Party ID

Marc Ambinder posted a graphic that shows a steady decline of Republican youth support in the last three presidential cycles, and a steady increase in Democratic affiliation, according to surveys conducted by Pew Research Center. These numbers show Democrats leading Republicans in party identification of 18 to 29 year olds by a staggering 25 point margin. Republicans dropped seven points in four years.

GOP's generational time bomb

Notes Ambinder:

Consider: Voters under 30 in the Midwest are twice as likely to call themselves Democrats as they are to identify as Republicans. 63% of women under age 30 identify as Democrats versus just 28% who call themselves Republicans. Democrats even have the affiliation of a majority of young men.

And the widely held belief that the young are more liberal and grow more conservative with age is just unfounded.

A potential objection: that old canard, that young people are liberal and become more conservative? The historical data doesn’t support it. When Bill Clinton was elected, a plurality of people under 30 identified themselves as Republicans. Same thing when Ronald Reagan was elected. Politically, today’s cohort of 18-to-29 year olds came of age during the Bush presidency. It has turned them into Democrats.

The future does not look bright for Republicans if this trend continues. George W. Bush may have delivered a generation of voters to the Democrats, and sewed the seeds of destruction for the Republican Party.

Read the full report from Pew Research Center for People and the Press.

Paul, Huckabee Combine for 27% in Pennsylvania

Senator John McCain (R-Arizona) may have won the required 1,191 delegates to secure the Republican nomination, but in Pennsylvania on Tuesday night, Congressman Ron Paul (R-Surfside, Tex.) and former Governor Mike Huckabee combined for 27 percent.

Rep. Paul, who apparently is still running for the presidency, garnered 16 percent, and Governor Huckabee took 11 percent — combining for more than 200,000 votes as of 12:30am Eastern time.

October 12, 2008

Polls

  • Which party do you think will win the White House in 2008?

    View Results

    Loading ... Loading ...

del.icio.us

Audio

Featured Video

More Video